Live now656 props this week

NFL player props, graded against his real games

Every PrizePicks NFL prop for this week, checked against the player's games this season, what the defense allows to his position, and how players in his role did against it. Tap a game for both teams' records, injuries, every meeting since 1999, and Kalshi and DraftKings odds side by side.

Pass YdsRush YdsRec YdsReceptionsRush+Rec YdsPass TDsLongest RecTargets
X. HUTCHINSON▲5/5 2026
HOU · WR@ JAX14.5Rec YdsAvg 46.2 · Med 46
Over100%Under0%
R. JOHNSON▼0/5 2026
CHI · RB@ ATL19.5Rush YdsAvg 4.4 · Med 0
Over0%Under100%
J. BROOKS▼0/5 2026
ARI · WR@ LAR20.5Rec YdsAvg 3.2 · Med 0
Over0%Under100%

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On the board this week

How it works

How an NFL prop gets read

  1. His formHow often he has cleared this exact number this season, and his average against it.
  2. The matchupWhat this week's defense allows to his position, ranked against all 32 defenses.
  3. His roleHow the WR1, RB2 or whatever his spot is on other teams did against this defense.
Xavier Hutchinson · Rec Yds14.5
▲ Strong OverAll three signals agree
2026 season5 of 5over the line
Average46.2+31.7 vs the line
SZN model85%fair -567
  • His formHe’s 5 of 5 over 14.5 this seasonOver
  • The matchupJAX allows the most rec yds to WRs (203.8/game, avg 150.2)Over
  • His roleWR2s vs JAX: 5 of 5 went over 14.5Over

NFL questions

Which NFL props does SZN Lab grade?

Every PrizePicks NFL prop for the week: passing, rushing and receiving yards, attempts, completions, receptions, targets, touchdowns, longest plays and the combo markets. Season-long NFL props get their own board when PrizePicks posts them.

How does SZN Lab grade an NFL line?

It counts how often the player has cleared that number this season, ranks what the opponent allows to his position against every defense, and checks how the player in his role did against them. When all three agree, the card calls a strong over or under.

How often do NFL lines update?

Every hour, and every 20 minutes in the three hours before kickoff. Each card shows how far the line has moved since PrizePicks posted it.

Where do the NFL stats come from?

Game logs from Sleeper, checked against ESPN. Head-to-head history goes back to 2009 for players and 1999 for teams.

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NFL Player Props | SZN Lab